As just about every commentator has noted, Joe Biden’s decision to abandon his bid for re-election has rebooted the presidential election. While Biden’s departure has been breathlessly praised by Democrats as an act of supreme patriotism and selfless party loyalty, it is important to remember that he never should have been in the race in the first place. He broke his promise to be a bridge to a new generation, putting his party and his country in a terrible spot, and then stubbornly hung on until it finally penetrated both his politician’s ego and the bubble with which he surrounded himself that he was going to be horribly humiliated.
Will it get even harder to poll people than it was in 2020? My phone doesn't even ring unless it's a known number.
JD Vance seems to be like Ted Cruz, one of those Republicans whom even his fellow party members dislike. Considering Trump's age, Vance may be the rare VP candidate who becomes a significant drag on the ticket.
One of the biggest changes in polling is the sophistication of the target audience. In them good old days, most people who were contacted were flattered to be asked and gave truthful answers. Now, as you point out, many people resent being pestered and those who do answer cannot be trusted to be giving answers that are not false or misleading. Pollsters will tell you that they account for this, but how can they be sure? In other words, what is portrayed as a quantitative exercise has developed highly qualitative undertones.
Harris’ statement on Hamas-loving flag-burners was terrific. Showing patriotism and moving away from the far left is a great answer to the “scary-left” characterizations they’re attempting. Also clear moral leadership.
Exactly. She has the advantage of both being able to write her own script and getting a credit from Biden's. I think right now, she's ahead. Trump does too.
Will it get even harder to poll people than it was in 2020? My phone doesn't even ring unless it's a known number.
JD Vance seems to be like Ted Cruz, one of those Republicans whom even his fellow party members dislike. Considering Trump's age, Vance may be the rare VP candidate who becomes a significant drag on the ticket.
One of the biggest changes in polling is the sophistication of the target audience. In them good old days, most people who were contacted were flattered to be asked and gave truthful answers. Now, as you point out, many people resent being pestered and those who do answer cannot be trusted to be giving answers that are not false or misleading. Pollsters will tell you that they account for this, but how can they be sure? In other words, what is portrayed as a quantitative exercise has developed highly qualitative undertones.
Harris’ statement on Hamas-loving flag-burners was terrific. Showing patriotism and moving away from the far left is a great answer to the “scary-left” characterizations they’re attempting. Also clear moral leadership.
Exactly. She has the advantage of both being able to write her own script and getting a credit from Biden's. I think right now, she's ahead. Trump does too.